CBO Scores Senate HCR Bill

CBO estimates: cost $871 billion over 10 years, reduce the deficit by $132 billion over 10 years and by $1.3 trillion over 20 years. The bill would extend insurance to 31 million individuals, covering approximately 94% by 2019."


Senate Bill New Managers Amendment Difference
Costs Reduce deficits: $130B/10yrs
Cost: $848B/10yrs
Spends on subsidies: $447B/10yrs
On Medicaid/CHIP: $374B/10yrs
On Small Employer Credit: $27B/10yrs
Reduce deficits: $132B/10yrs
Cost: $871B/10yrs
Spends on subsidies: $436B/10yrs
On Medicaid/CHIP: $395B/10yrs
On Small Employer Credit: $40B/10yrs
Reduce deficits: +$2B/10yrs
Cost: +$23B/10yrs
Spends on subsidies: -$11B/10yrs
On Medicaid/CHIP: +$21B/10yrs
On Small Employer Credit: +$13B/10yrs
Insured Uninsured reduced by: 31M
Uninsured in 2019: 24M
In Exchanges: 25M | Public Plan: 3-4M
In Medicaid: 15M
Uninsured reduced by: 31M
Uninsured in 2019: 23M
In Exchanges: 26M
In Medicaid: 15M
Uninsured reduced by: No Change
Uninsured in 2019: -1M
In Exchanges: +1M
In Medicaid: No Change
Revenue Mandate penalty: $8B/10yrs
Free rider penalty: $28B/10yrs
New taxes: $238B/10yrs
Excise tax: $149B/10yrs
Payroll tax: $54B/10yrs
Mandate penalty: $15B/10yrs
Free rider penalty: $28B/10yrs
New taxes: $264B/10yrs
Excise tax: $149B/10yrs
Payroll tax: $87B/10yrs
Mandate penalty: +$7B/10yrs
Free rider penalty: No Change
New taxes: +$26B/10yrs
Excise tax: No Change
Payroll tax: +$33B/10yrs
Medicare
and
Medicaid
Total savings: $491B/10yrs
Medicare Advantage: $118B/10yrs
Medicare Commission (IMAB): $23B/2015–2019
Total savings: $483B/10yrs
Medicare Advantage: $118B/10yrs
Medicare Commission (IMAB): $28B/2015–2019
Total savings: -$8B/10yrs
Medicare Advantage: No Change
Medicare Commission (IMAB): +$5B/2015–2019

None of this even matches up to Chairman Michael Steele's comments from the post below. None of it.

This is such bad news for Republicans they are stalling the vote as much as possible. Right now they have ordered the reading of the entire bill on the Senate floor. Very classy.

Funny I don't recall the minority party forcing the Republicans to read the Patriot Act, which is by far the largest government takeover in American history, on the floor. I don't recall the Republican expansion of Medicare bill read aloud. I don't recall the authorization to use force against Iraq read aloud. Had any of that been forced, the GOP would have questioned anyone's patriotism for doing so. What a bunch of putzes.

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